My Predictions for the Next 10 Years
05/06/2015 06:10 pm ET | Updated May 06, 2015
Pe... moreMy Predictions for the Next 10 Years
05/06/2015 06:10 pm ET | Updated May 06, 2015
Peter Diamandis Chairman/CEO, XPRIZE
SHUTTERSTOCK
Though it is hard to believe, 10 years ago...
• The first video was uploaded to YouTube.
• Facebook, then 1 year old, dropped the "the" from its old URL "thefacebook.com" after acquiring "facebook.com" for $200K
• An early prototype of an autonomous car completed the DARPA Grand Challenge for the first time.
• The term "Drone" meant a military weapon system
• Bitcoin & Blockchain didn't exist, and wouldn't be created for 3 more years.
• Android was a small startup that Google had just acquired.
• There were 6.4 billion humans on Earth, only ~1 billion were online, and none of them had heard of Uber or AirBnb.
Today...
• YouTube has more than a billion users, who watch hundreds of millions of hours of video every day. 300 hours of video are uploaded to YouTube every minute.
• Facebook has 1.4 billion users from every country on Earth.
• Every major car manufacturer is working on an autonomous model, and Google's autonomous cars have logged over 1 million miles driving themselves.
• Drones are now used by children, can be purchased at prices ranging from $50 to $1500. The largest consumer drone company DJI (which was started in 2006) is valued at $10b.
• Bitcoin and Blockchain companies have raised hundreds of millions in venture capital and are poised to be potentially as disruptive as the Internet itself (see below).
• Google now has over 1 billion active Android users
• Today, there are close to 7.4 billion humans on Earth, ~3 billion are now on-line.
• Uber, which was started in 2009, is valued at over $40b, and AirBnb, started in 2007, valued over $20b.
These are only a few of the fun examples of exponential change from the last decade.
The question is: What will the world look like 10 years from now?
The World in 2025
In 2025, in accordance with Moore's law, we will see an acceleration in the rate of change as we move closer to a world of true abundance.
Here are eight areas where we'll see extraordinary transformation in the next decade:
1. A $1000 Human Brain : In 2025, $1000 should buy you a computer able to calculate at 10^16 cycles per second (10,000 trillion cycles per second), the equivalent processing speed of the human brain.
2. A Trillion Sensor Economy : The Internet of Everything describes the networked connections between devices, people, processes and data. By 2025, the IoE will exceed 100 billion connected devices, each with a dozen or more sensors collecting data. This will lead to a trillion sensor economy driving a data revolution beyond our imagination. Cisco's recent report estimates the IoE will generate $19 trillion of newly created value.
3. Perfect knowledge : We're heading towards a world of perfect knowledge. With a trillion sensors gathering data everywhere (autonomous cars, satellite systems, drones, wearables, cameras), you'll be able to know anything you want, anytime, anywhere, and query that data for answers and insights.
4. 8 Billion Hyper-connected people : Facebook (Internet.org), SpaceX, Google (Project Loon), Qualcomm & Virgin (OneWeb) are planning to provide global connectivity to every human on Earth at speeds exceeding 1 Megabit per second. We will grow from three to eight billion connected humans, adding five billion new consumers into the global economy. They represent tens of trillions of new dollars flowing into the global economy. And they are not coming online like we did 20 years ago with a 9600 modem on AOL. They're coming online with a 1 Mbps connection and access to the world's information on Google, cloud 3D printing, Amazon Web Services, artificial intelligence with Watson, crowdfunding, crowdsourcing, and more.
5. Disruption of Health care : Existing health care institutions will be crushed as new business models with better and more efficient care emerge. Thousands of startups, as well as today's data-giants (Google, Apple, Microsoft, SAP, IBM, etc.) will all enter this lucrative $3.8 trillion dollar health care industry with new business models that dematerialize, demonetize and democratize today's bureaucratic and inefficient system. Biometric sensing (wearables) and AI will make each of us the CEO's of our own health. Large-scale genomic sequencing and machine learning will allow us to understand the root cause of cancer, heart disease and neurodegenerative disease and what to do about it. Robotic surgeons can carry out an autonomous surgical procedure perfectly (every time) for pennies on the dollar. Each of us will be able to regrow a heart, liver, lung of kidney when we need it, instead of waiting for the donor to die.
6. Augmented & Virtual Reality : Billions of dollars invested by Facebook (Oculus), Google (Magic Leap), Microsoft (HoloLens), Sony, Qualcomm, HTC and others will lead to a new generation of displays and user interfaces. The screen as we know it... on your phone, your computer and your TV will disappear and be replaced eyewear. Not the geeky Google Glass, but stylish equivalents to what the well-dressed fashionista's are wearing today. The result will be a massive disruption in a number of industries ranging from consumer retail, to real-estate, education, travel, entertainment, and the fundamental ways we operate as humans.
7. Early days of JARVIS : Artificial intelligence research will make strides in the next decade. If you think Siri is useful now, the next decade's generation of Siri will be much more like JARVIS from Ironman , with expanded capabilities, to understand and answer. Companies like IBM-Watson, DeepMind and Vicarious continue to hunker down and develop next generation AI-systems. In a decade, it will be normal for you to give your A.I. access to listen to all of your conversations, read your emails and scan you biometric data because the upside and convenience will be so immense.
8. Blockchain : If you haven't heard of the blockchain, I highly recommend you read up on it. You might have heard of bitcoin, which is the decentralized (global), democratized, highly secure cryptocurrency, based on the blockchain. But the real innovation is the blockchain itself, a protocol that allows for secure, direct (without a middle-man), digital transferring of value and assets (think money, contracts, stocks, IP). Investors like Marc Andreessen have poured tens of millions into the development and believe this is as important of an opportunity as the creation of the Internet itself.
Bottom Line : We live in the most exciting time ever.
This is the sort of content and conversations we discuss at my 250-person executive mastermind group called Abundance 360. The program is highly selective and has ~90 percent of the spots filled. You can apply here.
Share this email with your friends, especially if they are interested in any of the areas outlined above.
We are living toward incredible times where the only constant is change, and the rate of change is increasing.
Best,
Peter
P.S. Every weekend I send out a "Tech Blog" like this one. If you want to sign up, go to PeterDiamandis.com and sign up for this and my Abundance blogs. less
Technics SP-10R High-End Direct Drive Turntable and Technics SL-1000R Direct Drive Turntable System continue the legacy of outstanding vinyl performance
Ultimate precision: legendary direct drive engine redesigned with coreless double stator and tw... more
Technics SP-10R High-End Direct Drive Turntable and Technics SL-1000R Direct Drive Turntable System continue the legacy of outstanding vinyl performance
Ultimate precision: legendary direct drive engine redesigned with coreless double stator and twin rotor
Stable rotation: heavyweight-class turntable platter utilizes inertial mass at its best to improve rotational stability
Retrofit design: turntable and control unit are completely interchangeable with the previous SP-10MK2 and SP-10MK3 (For SP-10R)
Las Vegas, USA (8th January 2018) – Renowned for its direct drive technology and superior performance, the Technics range has extended its Reference Class line-up of audio components with its newest direct drive turntable and turntable system, the SP10-R and SL-1000R. Designed and engineered for ultimate analog vinyl performance, the legendary SP-10 Series of Direct Drive Turntables and their accompanying Direct Drive Turntable Systems have become synonymous with direct drive technology, and are fitting symbols of the Technics brand name that continues to inspire the admiration and loyalty of audiophiles worldwide. Building upon their impressive heritage, the SP10-R and SL-1000R continue to provide a new reference point for modern high-fidelity turntable technology and lead the market for a new age.
Reaching new levels in near-flawless sound
The SP10-R includes a double coil twin rotor-type coreless direct-drive motor with coils on both sides for 12-pole, 18-coil drive, and high enough torque to drive the heavyweight-class platter with ultimate sovereignty. The result is a stable rotation of 0.015% wow & flutter or less, which is considered to be the measurement limit.
The turntable also features an impressive turntable platter with a 10-mm-thick brass weight, enhanced with tungsten weights on the outer periphery. The brass weight is laminated onto the aluminum die-cast, giving the platter a total weight of approximately 7.9 kg and an inertial mass of approximately 1 ton・cm. A deadening rubber for eliminating unwanted vibration is attached to the rear surface to form a three-layer construction to achieve an even higher rigidity and provide excellent vibration-damping characteristics.
To achieve further noise reduction, the control unit is separated from the main unit and its switching power supply is equipped with unique technology that provides a voltage supply with minimal noise via a newly-developed ‘unwanted noise reduction circuit’. In addition, the communication between the main unit and the control unit are engineered to resist the effects of external noise whilst increasing reliability. These noise-reduction measures enable the SP-10R to achieve the World’s highest level S/N.
Achieving optimal performance with an exceptional tonearm and base
The Technics SL-1000R system features an S-type universal tonearm with a lightweight, high damping magnesium tonearm pipe. The gimbal suspension construction tonearm uses high-precision bearings, and highly-skilled Japanese craftsmen handle all assembly and adjustments to achieve a high initial-motion sensitivity to precisely trace the grooves cut into the records. To further ensure the production of highly-vivid sounds, OFC is used for internal wiring, so that the music signal relayed from the cartridge is not dampened and the musical energy cut into the record is not lost.
The tonearm base, to which the tonearm is mounted, is strongly integrated with the turntable. To safeguard exceptional tonearm performance, the tonearm bearings, turntable bearings and needle position remain constant – providing a structure in which the vibration caused by the rigidity of the turntable base materials has minimal effect.
Augmenting, not replacing a rich heritage of outstanding direct drive turntables and systems
The SP-10R has been developed to be completely interchangeable with previous SP-10 Series models, such as the SP-10MK2 and SP-10MK3. In order for users to continue using the turntable base and turntable of these previous systems, the shape and screw positions have been designed to allow for complete backward compatibility. The control unit is also the same shape and size as the SP-10MK2 power unit for trouble-free replacement.
Technics: The legacy continues
The great appeal of direct drive technology is its ability to eliminate degradation in sound quality caused by rotation fluctuation and minute vibrations between the motor and transmission mechanism. The SP-10R and the SL-1000R are part of a long and successful line of reference case turntable technologies. Technics released the SP-10 as the World’s first Direct Drive Turntable in 1970 and its superb performance and reliability quickly made the SP series both the go-to turntable for broadcast stations and the holy grail of audiophiles worldwide. Committed to creating an emotionally-engaging experience and delivering the power of music to all, Technics has been at the heart of music performance for decades. From the emergence to success of hip hop, enabling the fast rise of celebrity DJs, and allowing audiophiles to hear music exactly as the creators wished, it has been and shall remain the brand that leaders in their field turn to for exceptional performance and reliability. less
Getkant Bundfeld 1152My friend Pete Vargas is hosting a FREE online masterclass to share the proven methods that have helped his clients win 25,000+ stages and generate millions in new business since 2003 - and I’m inviting you! Don’t miss out on the chance to learn about one... moreMy friend Pete Vargas is hosting a FREE online masterclass to share the proven methods that have helped his clients win 25,000+ stages and generate millions in new business since 2003 - and I’m inviting you! Don’t miss out on the chance to learn about one of the best marketing tools at your disposal - register, TODAY ==> https://ts218.isrefer.com/go/wadeweb/wadefb/
Getkant Bundfeld 1152My Predictions for the Next 10 Years
Though it is hard to believe, 10 years ago...
• The first video was uploaded to YouTube.
•... moreMy Predictions for the Next 10 Years
Though it is hard to believe, 10 years ago...
• The first video was uploaded to YouTube.
• Facebook, then 1 year old, dropped the "the" from its old URL "thefacebook.com" after acquiring "facebook.com" for $200K
• An early prototype of an autonomous car completed the DARPA Grand Challenge for the first time.
• The term "Drone" meant a military weapon system
• Bitcoin & Blockchain didn't exist, and wouldn't be created for 3 more years.
• Android was a small startup that Google had just acquired.
• There were 6.4 billion humans on Earth, only ~1 billion were online, and none of them had heard of Uber or AirBnb.
Today...
• YouTube has more than a billion users, who watch hundreds of millions of hours of video every day. 300 hours of video are uploaded to YouTube every minute.
• Facebook has 1.4 billion users from every country on Earth.
• Every major car manufacturer is working on an autonomous model, and Google's autonomous cars have logged over 1 million miles driving themselves.
• Drones are now used by children, can be purchased at prices ranging from $50 to $1500. The largest consumer drone company DJI (which was started in 2006) is valued at $10b.
• Bitcoin and Blockchain companies have raised hundreds of millions in venture capital and are poised to be potentially as disruptive as the Internet itself (see below).
• Google now has over 1 billion active Android users
• Today, there are close to 7.4 billion humans on Earth, ~3 billion are now on-line.
• Uber, which was started in 2009, is valued at over $40b, and AirBnb, started in 2007, valued over $20b.
These are only a few of the fun examples of exponential change from the last decade.
The question is: What will the world look like 10 years from now?
The World in 2025
In 2025, in accordance with Moore's law, we will see an acceleration in the rate of change as we move closer to a world of true abundance.
Here are eight areas where we'll see extraordinary transformation in the next decade:
1. A $1000 Human Brain : In 2025, $1000 should buy you a computer able to calculate at 10^16 cycles per second (10,000 trillion cycles per second), the equivalent processing speed of the human brain.
2. A Trillion Sensor Economy : The Internet of Everything describes the networked connections between devices, people, processes and data. By 2025, the IoE will exceed 100 billion connected devices, each with a dozen or more sensors collecting data. This will lead to a trillion sensor economy driving a data revolution beyond our imagination. Cisco's recent report estimates the IoE will generate $19 trillion of newly created value.
3. Perfect knowledge : We're heading towards a world of perfect knowledge. With a trillion sensors gathering data everywhere (autonomous cars, satellite systems, drones, wearables, cameras), you'll be able to know anything you want, anytime, anywhere, and query that data for answers and insights.
4. 8 Billion Hyper-connected people : Facebook (Internet.org), SpaceX, Google (Project Loon), Qualcomm & Virgin (OneWeb) are planning to provide global connectivity to every human on Earth at speeds exceeding 1 Megabit per second. We will grow from three to eight billion connected humans, adding five billion new consumers into the global economy. They represent tens of trillions of new dollars flowing into the global economy. And they are not coming online like we did 20 years ago with a 9600 modem on AOL. They're coming online with a 1 Mbps connection and access to the world's information on Google, cloud 3D printing, Amazon Web Services, artificial intelligence with Watson, crowdfunding, crowdsourcing, and more.
5. Disruption of Health care : Existing health care institutions will be crushed as new business models with better and more efficient care emerge. Thousands of startups, as well as today's data-giants (Google, Apple, Microsoft, SAP, IBM, etc.) will all enter this lucrative $3.8 trillion dollar health care industry with new business models that dematerialize, demonetize and democratize today's bureaucratic and inefficient system. Biometric sensing (wearables) and AI will make each of us the CEO's of our own health. Large-scale genomic sequencing and machine learning will allow us to understand the root cause of cancer, heart disease and neurodegenerative disease and what to do about it. Robotic surgeons can carry out an autonomous surgical procedure perfectly (every time) for pennies on the dollar. Each of us will be able to regrow a heart, liver, lung of kidney when we need it, instead of waiting for the donor to die.
6. Augmented & Virtual Reality : Billions of dollars invested by Facebook (Oculus), Google (Magic Leap), Microsoft (HoloLens), Sony, Qualcomm, HTC and others will lead to a new generation of displays and user interfaces. The screen as we know it... on your phone, your computer and your TV will disappear and be replaced eyewear. Not the geeky Google Glass, but stylish equivalents to what the well-dressed fashionista's are wearing today. The result will be a massive disruption in a number of industries ranging from consumer retail, to real-estate, education, travel, entertainment, and the fundamental ways we operate as humans.
7. Early days of JARVIS : Artificial intelligence research will make strides in the next decade. If you think Siri is useful now, the next decade's generation of Siri will be much more like JARVIS from Ironman , with expanded capabilities, to understand and answer. Companies like IBM-Watson, DeepMind and Vicarious continue to hunker down and develop next generation AI-systems. In a decade, it will be normal for you to give your A.I. access to listen to all of your conversations, read your emails and scan you biometric data because the upside and convenience will be so immense.
8. Blockchain : If you haven't heard of the blockchain, I highly recommend you read up on it. You might have heard of bitcoin, which is the decentralized (global), democratized, highly secure cryptocurrency, based on the blockchain. But the real innovation is the blockchain itself, a protocol that allows for secure, direct (without a middle-man), digital transferring of value and assets (think money, contracts, stocks, IP). Investors like Marc Andreessen have poured tens of millions into the development and believe this is as important of an opportunity as the creation of the Internet itself.
Bottom Line : We live in the most exciting time ever.
This is the sort of content and conversations we discuss at my 250-person executive mastermind group called Abundance 360. The program is highly selective and has ~90 percent of the spots filled. You can apply here.
Share this email with your friends, especially if they are interested in any of the areas outlined above.
We are living toward incredible times where the only constant is change, and the rate of change is increasing.
Best,
Peter
P.S. Every weekend I send out a "Tech Blog" like this one. If you want to sign up, go to PeterDiamandis.com and sign up for this and my Abundance blogs. less
Getkant Bundfeld 1152Google has changed a lot over the past 17 years — from the range of our products to the evolution of their look and feel. And today we’re changing things up once again…
Getkant Bundfeld 1152See who’s there,
from anywhere.
With wide angled HD video,
smart motion detection, and
clou... moreSee who’s there,
from anywhere.
With wide angled HD video,
smart motion detection, and
cloud recording, it’s like you’re
home even when you’re not.
The Ring Video Doorbell blends convenience, monitoring, and security all into one sleek, simple to use smart doorbell.
Getkant Bundfeld 1152We're not interested in a fair fight with anyone. We want to have overmatch in all systems. I don't think that we've fallen behind but Russia has closed the gap in certain capabilities. We don't want them to close that gap ( Frederick "Ben" Hodges)
Getkant Bundfeld 1152World s deepest fish – believed to be a snailfish – found in the western Pacific Ocean at a depth of 26,722 feet, beating previous record by 500 feet